What does the LLM actually do?

Six of the 14 strategies (news divergence, time decay, whale scoring, sports model, resolution research, social sentiment) call an LLM to estimate probabilities or score signals. Without an API key they fall back to heuristics.

Live trading ready · 14 strategies · EU-only

Trade smarter on
prediction markets.

Q: Is Polymarket EA legal?

Yes — for EU residents over 18. We are not a broker, we are a tool you connect to your own Polymarket account. Polymarket prohibits US persons; our Terms of Service reflect this and we block US-reserved IPs at signup.

Q: Is live trading safe?

Live trading requires explicit arming per client. Once armed, per-strategy risk limits, daily loss caps, and a global kill switch protect your capital. We never see your Polymarket private key — it stays AES-256-GCM encrypted on disk.

Q: Can I lose all my money?

Prediction markets are zero-sum. If you arm live trading and a strategy's edge turns out to not be an edge, you can lose 100% of the deployed capital. Backtests and a kill switch are documented; live risk is on you. Validate strategies with backtests before arming.

Q: Can I cancel and get a refund?

Monthly plans: cancel anytime from your Stripe Customer Portal — access continues to the end of the paid period. Full refund within 14 days of first charge, no questions.

Polymarket EA deploys 14 battle-tested strategies against live Polymarket orderbooks — mispricing, time decay, news divergence, whale copy, cross-venue arbitrage — with risk-managed execution, per-client arming, and a global kill switch. Bring your own capital, trade under your control.

Start 7-day Pro trial See how it works

Per-client arming flag Global kill switch 7-day Pro trial

BTC hit $200k by Dec 31, 2026? LIVE

Strategies live

Live trades executed

Uptime

Live volume traded

Works with

● Polymarket ▢ Kalshi ◆ Limitless ⬢ Polygon ◆ Ethereum ⬡ USDC ⌒ Coinbase ▣ MetaMask ✉ Stripe A Anthropic ● Polymarket ▢ Kalshi ◆ Limitless ⬢ Polygon ◆ Ethereum ⬡ USDC ⌒ Coinbase ▣ MetaMask ✉ Stripe A Anthropic

14 strategies

Edge across every market regime.

From always-on arbitrage to rare-event resolution research — strategies tuned for different volatility profiles, time horizons, and signal sources.

TIER 1 · ALWAYS ON

S1 — Mispricing arbitrage

Buy both YES + NO when the sum is below $1.00. Lock in a risk-free spread. Edge measurable in basis points.

TIER 1 · ALWAYS ON

S3 — Time decay

As a market approaches resolution, the time value of an option converges. Sell overpriced near-resolution outcomes with our LLM-estimated probabilities.

TIER 2 · LLM-AUGMENTED

S2 — News divergence

Crawl 5 RSS feeds, score sentiment with Claude or MiniMax, fade markets priced away from the news.

TIER 2 · CROSS-VENUE

S4 — Cross-venue arb

Buy on Polymarket when Kalshi offers the same event 1.5¢+ cheaper. Auto-detects instrument mapping.

TIER 2 · MARKET-MAKING

S5 — Market making

Post tight bid/ask spreads on illiquid markets. Earn the spread while keeping inventory skew in check.

TIER 2 · LLM-AUGMENTED

S6 — Whale copy

Follow wallets with consistent edge. LLM scores each whale on sizing, market selection, and timing quality.

TIER 3 · RESEARCH

S7 — Sports model

Pull injury reports and Elo ratings, run LLM-projected game outcomes, bet inefficiencies on sports markets.

TIER 3 · RARE-EVENT

S8 — Resolution research

Markets 30-365 days from resolution get deep-research attention: base rates, momentum, contradicting factors.

TIER 2 · MOMENTUM

S10 — Orderbook imbalance

Bid/ask depth ratio as a short-term directional signal. Triggers on >2:1 imbalance with >$500 depth.

TIER 2 · MEAN-REVERSION

S11 — Mean reversion

When a market drifts to >85% / <15%, fade the extreme. Strict liquidity filter to avoid getting trapped.

TIER 2 · CORRELATION

S13 — Cross-event correlation

Detect logically related markets (e.g. "Trump wins 2028" vs "GOP holds Senate"). Trade divergences.

+ S14, S15, S16 (Pro only)

Three steps

From zero to live trading in 5 minutes.

Live mode requires a Stripe-verified account + Polygon wallet. Configure risk limits, then arm. Pro tip: dry-run with paper for 24h before deploying real capital.

Sign up + verify email

One-click signup. Verify your email so we can send password-reset links and Stripe receipts. That's the only identity we collect.

curl -X POST /signup -d 'email=you@example.com'

Configure your mix

Pick which strategies to run, set per-strategy risk limits, and (optionally) paste your Anthropic / OpenAI / MiniMax API key for LLM-powered signals.

POST /admin/clients/{id}/config {'strategies': [...]}

Arm live trading when ready

Configure per-strategy risk, fund your Polygon wallet, then POST /arm. The bot takes over: live orderbooks scanned every 5 min, kill switch active.

POST /admin/clients/{id}/arm?confirm=YES_I_UNDERSTAND_THE_RISKS

Built for risk

Safety first. Always.

Prediction markets are zero-sum. Polymarket EA's job is to keep your capital alive long enough to capture the edges you actually have.

Per-client armed flag

No client auto-trades live by default. To enable live trading you must explicitly POST /arm?confirm=YES_I_UNDERSTAND_THE_RISKS.

Global kill switch

PMBOT_KILL_SWITCH=true halts all trading within one cron cycle. No race conditions, no exceptions: it short-circuits the executor.

Per-strategy risk engine

Position size, max daily loss, max open orders, max total exposure, and cooldown after consecutive losses — all per-client.

AES-256-GCM at rest

Your Polymarket private key (when armed) lives encrypted on disk. We never see plaintext, never log it, and the master key is rotated annually.

Reconciler

Every 5 minutes we re-query Polymarket's API for fills we might have missed and reconcile against our local state. No silent position drift.

EU-only + GDPR

No US persons (Polymarket policy). Data Processing Agreement at /dpa. 14-day full refund. Spanish governing law.

Pricing

Start free. Scale when ready.

No credit card. 7-day Pro trial. Cancel anytime.

Pro · Most popular

€29/month

For active traders running real strategies on real capital.

25 concurrent live positions
All 14 strategies (including LLM)
Chat assistant with market data
API access (X-API-Key)
Per-strategy risk tuning
Live trading with kill switch

Start 7-day trial

Elite

€99/month

For prop-firm operators and pro desks running multiple accounts.

Unlimited live positions
All 14 strategies + priority queue
Chat with longer context window
Multi-account copy-trading
Priority email support (<24h)
White-label & co-branded option

Apply for Elite

FAQ

Common questions.

Yes — for EU residents over 18. We are not a broker, we are a tool you connect to your own Polymarket account. Polymarket prohibits US persons; our Terms of Service (/terms) reflect this and we block US-reserved IPs at signup.

Live trading requires explicit arming per client (POST /admin/clients/{id}/arm?confirm=YES_I_UNDERSTAND_THE_RISKS). Once armed, per-strategy risk limits, daily loss caps, and a global kill switch protect your capital. We never see your Polymarket private key — it stays AES-256-GCM encrypted on disk.

Six of the 14 strategies (S2 news divergence, S3 time decay, S6 whale scoring, S7 sports model, S8 resolution research, S15 social sentiment) call an LLM to estimate probabilities or score signals. Without an API key they fall back to heuristics.

Prediction markets are zero-sum. If you arm live trading and a strategy's edge turns out to not be an edge, yes — you can lose 100% of the deployed capital. Backtests (optional) and a Kill Switch are documented; live risk is on you. Validate strategies with backtests before arming.

Aevo and similar perps settle on-chain but their underlying event is the same as Polymarket/Kalshi. We model those as cross-venue signals (S4). Live execution on perps is on the roadmap for Pro+ tiers.